Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000149 0.000164 0.000180 0.000199 0.000219 0.000242 0.000268
2025-10-26 0.000120 0.000142 0.000168 0.000200 0.000239 0.000285 0.000344
2025-11-02 0.000101 0.000126 0.000157 0.000197 0.000250 0.000317 0.000410
2025-11-09 0.000089 0.000115 0.000149 0.000197 0.000262 0.000349 0.000478
2025-11-16 0.000079 0.000106 0.000142 0.000194 0.000269 0.000374 0.000538
2025-11-23 0.000070 0.000097 0.000133 0.000189 0.000272 0.000393 0.000590
2025-11-30 0.000065 0.000092 0.000131 0.000192 0.000285 0.000429 0.000673
2025-12-07 0.000061 0.000089 0.000130 0.000195 0.000301 0.000468 0.000765
2025-12-14 0.000056 0.000083 0.000124 0.000192 0.000303 0.000487 0.000826
2025-12-21 0.000051 0.000077 0.000117 0.000184 0.000299 0.000495 0.000867
2025-12-28 0.000048 0.000074 0.000115 0.000185 0.000309 0.000526 0.000955
2026-01-04 0.000046 0.000072 0.000113 0.000187 0.000320 0.000561 0.001055
2026-01-11 0.000043 0.000068 0.000110 0.000185 0.000326 0.000587 0.001146
2026-01-18 0.000040 0.000066 0.000108 0.000187 0.000337 0.000628 0.001273
2026-01-25 0.000038 0.000062 0.000104 0.000185 0.000342 0.000654 0.001375
2026-02-01 0.000035 0.000060 0.000102 0.000184 0.000350 0.000689 0.001500
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.000057 0.000098 0.000181 0.000352 0.000712 0.001604
2026-02-15 0.000031 0.000054 0.000094 0.000177 0.000351 0.000727 0.001689
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000052 0.000094 0.000179 0.000364 0.000777 0.001873
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000051 0.000094 0.000183 0.000380 0.000835 0.002086
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000049 0.000090 0.000179 0.000380 0.000854 0.002201
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000173 0.000373 0.000854 0.002260
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000173 0.000382 0.000898 0.002457